Casinos.co.uk: Casino News Archive
Monday 24th May 2004
Bonus MLB Play
MLB - Bonus Pick on Cincinnati +109
- Line available at Pinnacle Sports
- Redding & Acevedo
- Listed Pitchers
- Game goes at 4:10 PM PST., 7:10 PM EST
Quick question: who has the best record in the National League right now? Houston? Florida? Nope. Cincinnati is tied with Chicago for the best record. The Reds will come into this game looking for a 4 game sweep of the mighty Astros. In this series, Cincy has already knocked off Clemens, Pettitte and Miller … hardly the Three Stooges! This puts the Reds firmly in the black at 25-18 for a whopping +$1395 overall and 14-7 for +$845 at the Great American Ballpark. Those results just so happen to rank them second overall in the team moneyline standings and first in the home moneyline standings. Meanwhile, Houston will come into this contest at 24-19 for -$790. Only six teams have been a worse bet this season than the overpriced Astros.
Houston certainly holds the edge from a hitting perspective, but the Reds are scoring just enough runs this year and riding their surprisingly strong starting pitching. As it pertains to today, Cincinnati’s Acevedo has been far more consistent and productive than his counterpart Redding. Acevedo will come in with a 4.72 ERA and 1.175 WHIP. But those numbers are very misleading when you consider that he also has 45 strikeouts on just 12 walks allowed overall. At home, he has been spectacular with a 2.96 ERA, 0.904 WHIP and an incredible 21 to 3 strikeout to walk ratio. His overall ERA is slightly high because of a couple bad starts. However, he has generally been rock solid overall, having given up 3 or less earned runs in six of his last eight starts.
On the other side of the equation is Redding, who comes in with a 5.29 ERA and 1.529 WHIP. Redding was in danger of losing his spot in the rotation, but has put together three consecutive solid appearances. In this last trio of starts, he has a 0.96 ERA and 1.018 WHIP. So he has certainly turned things around. However, we are not buying his turnaround just yet and Acevedo has been far more consistent overall than Redding. Note that all of Redding’s previous three starts have come against weak hitting non-division opposition. And we cannot help but notice that Redding has an atrocious 10.56 ERA and 2.151 WHIP vs. NL Central teams this season. His last start against an NL Central opponent coincidentally came against these very Reds. In that start, he was yanked in the 3rd inning after giving up 4 earned runs.
Technically speaking, the Reds are now 5-1 (+$540) as a home underdog this season and 9-3 (+$730) at home vs. divisional opponents during this same span. In addition, they are a wallet-fattening 10-4 (+$965) priced as an underdog of +100 to +150 overall. Acevedo has also excelled in these spots. After all, the Reds are a near flawless 7-1 (+$625) in his eight career home starts. All in all, Cincinnati is simply too hot at the moment to be priced as a home underdog. The Reds should grab the green in this one.
Don’t miss any of William’s Action. Click here for more Details!
Source:OnlineCasinoNews
| Discuss this story in the Gambling.co.uk Forums. Last five forum Posts: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
